TALIBAN TERROR
PARIS May 04, 2009
The worldly French and British who are taught history and read books are looking with wry amusement and some pity on the Americans who are now gripped by a renewed bout of Taliban terror.
About ten days ago, a bunch of lightly-armed Pashtun tribesmen rode down from the Malakand region on motorbikes and pickup trucks and briefly swaggered around Buner, only 100 km from Pakistan’s capitol, Islamabad.    
 
Hysteria erupted in Washington.  `The Taliban are coming. The Taliban are coming!’  
 
Hillary Clinton, still struggling through foreign affairs 101, warned the scruffy Taliban tribesmen were a global threat.  Pakistan’s generals dutifully followed Washington’s orders by attacking the tribal miscreants in Buner who failed to obey the American Raj.  Over a hundred people were killed, almost all innocent civilians, and thousands of refuges fled the government bombing and gunfire.  
 
It would have been helpful had the anguished Mrs. Clinton read page 30 of my book, `War at the Top of the World:’ 
 
`In the first quarter of the 20th century…two colorful figures emerged from the barren mountains of the Northwest Frontier. First, a fiery holy man with a wonderful name, the Fakir of Ipi.  The old fakir rallied the Pashtun tribes against the infidel and came within a turban’s length of taking Peshawar from the British, who spent a decade chasing the elusive fakir through the mountains of Waziristan.’
 
`Then, a fearsome figure, the `Mad Mullah’ (as the British press branded him), who rode down from the Malakand Pass at the head of 20,000 savage horsemen, determined to put the impious city of Peshawar (the main British Imperial base) to the sword.’
 
Like Mrs. Clinton, the good Christian ladies of the British Peshawar garrison had a very big scare.  Cries were raised that the Mad Mullah and his wicked Muslims were going to lay fire sword on Peshawar and carry off its Christian ladies upon whose white bodies would be inflicted unspeakable Islamic abominations. 
 
Plus ca change…..   A century later, western imperial forces are again chasing unruly Pashtun tribesmen on the wild Northwest Frontier. Today, they’re called `terrorists’ by western media and politicians.   In the 1980’s they and their fathers were hailed as `freedom fighters’ battling the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan. 
 
Pashtun (aka Pathan)  frontier tribes  – collectively mislabeled  `Taliban’ by western media -  are up in arms again because they are being bombed by US Predator drones, and attacked by the Pakistani Army, which the US rents for $1.5 billion annually(the official figure; actually, it’s a lot more), to support its widening war in Afghanistan.  Pashtun civilian casualties - `collateral damage’ in Pentagonspeak – are rising fast. 
 
The primary cause of the growing rebellion in Pakistan’s Northwest Frontier Province (NWFP) is the US war in Afghanistan, which is rapidly spreading into Pakistan.   Most Pakistanis see the Afghan Taliban and their own rebellious Pashtun as heroes fighting western domination, and scorn their own isolated leaders in Islamabad as working for the Yankee dollar.  
 
Equally, the Pashtun tribes of NWFP were guaranteed total autonomy in 1947; Pakistan’s army was formally excluded from the Pashtun tribal region.  Washington has pressured Islamabad into violating this basic provision of Pakistan’s constitution by sending troops and warplanes into the independent tribal region.
 
Even the British Imperial Raj’s most junior officer knew it was foolhardy to provoke warlike Pashtun. But Washington has done just this.   Still, the Pashtun `Taliban’ have no influence outside their Northwest Frontier and are not about to take over the rest of Pakistan.
 
But Washington’s ham-handed tactics in Afghanistan and Pakistan are creating a bigger storm: a national revolution in Pakistan against the western-backed feudal oligarchy that has ruled it since 1947.   
 
Pakistan is among the world’s poorest nations. Half its people are illiterate.  Most subsist on $1.13 daily. The feudal landowning elite, only .5% of the population, holds over 90% of national wealth.  Corruption engulfs everything.  Democracy is a sham; the legal system a cruel joke.
 
Islamic law, however draconian, offers the only justice that cannot be bought.  Growing resistance movements in Northwest Frontier and Baluchistan call for national leadership that represents Pakistan’s rather than western interests.   Pakistanis are humiliated by being forced by the US and Britain to wage war against their own people under the pretext of `fighting Islamic terrorism.’ 
 
The big question in western capitals is: `are Pakistan’s nuclear weapons safe?’  Yes. For now.  They are heavily guarded by crack army units and ISI, the military intelligence service, and will remain so unless the army splits in a power struggle.  Pakistan’s nukes cannot be armed without special security codes.    
 
Even so, there is growing speculation in Pakistan and here in Europe that the US, possibly in league with India and or Israel, may attempt to seize or destroy Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal.   
 
My esteemed colleague and regional expert, Arnaud de Borchgrave, warns Pakistan could become another Iran.  I’m not so sure.  Islamic parties have never commanded much support in Pakistan.  There is no powerful clergy in Sunni Pakistan, as there was in Shia Iran.  Pakistan has a long way to go before becoming an Islamic republic on the Iranian model.  But Pakistan is certainly headed into very dangerous waters.
 
As for the US-led crusade in Afghanistan and Northwest Frontier, we should recall the words of Victorian poet of the British Raj, Rudyard Kipling:  `Asia is not going to be civilized after the methods of the West. There is too much Asia and she is too old.’  
 
 
copyright Eric S. Margolis 2009
Naveed
Monday, May 04, 2009 3:14 PM
Eric Margolis words are prophetic...I am so surprised that how does an American like him gets it right and straight....I was born and raised in Karachi, Pakistan and never been to that part untill from my University of Karachi in 1994....Those religious people back in 1994 then also wanted to enforce Sharia law in Malakand, Buner and Swat Valley..After a month that I got home, I read in the daily paper that those people blocked the major roads and cut of the region from Rest of Pakistan to have an Islamic law in their society...so it is a long waged war for Islam and has nothing to do with Taliban...

Also my roommate who is from the area (I live now in Calgary, AB Canada) tells me that people in the region are fed up with expensive and no-resulting courts of law and want cheaper justice...and these Islamic people are providing that...
Byron
Monday, May 04, 2009 5:24 PM
Naveed,

I am not surprised at all. Ability to understand the tribal mountain people of Pakistan and Afghanistan is engraved in his genetic code that Eric inherited from his mother who was the Daughter of Eagle, raised in the mountainous Albania.

The Albanian name for Albania is Shqiperia which roughly means Sons and Daughters of the Eagle.

Eric does an outstanding job in explaining historical and contemporary events in a straightforward language. See his excellent books.

I live in Calgary as well. Please give me a call at 403-247-1062; I would like to discuss that part of the world in more detail.
Pseudonym
Saturday, May 09, 2009 2:40 PM
Pushton
Wednesday, May 27, 2009 4:24 PM
BAK
Tuesday, May 05, 2009 1:57 AM
Another excellent article Eric. Actually, I am based in Pakistan, and for your consideration and that of the readers I would like to add something. The perception in Pakistan is that the CIA in league with RAW and MOSSAD is actually actively supporting the TTP. The plan is really to destabilize Pakistan. It is now an established perspective that the US in association with her allies India and Israel wish to denuclearize Pakistan. That cannot be achieved without a substantial excuse that Pakistan's nukes are vulnerable so the illusion of TTP and BLA is being evoked. To date no US drones have targeted a TTP commander and all of those tribals that have been targeted are allied to Pakistan Army or innocent civilians. Even US officials admit that drone attacks are counter productive for Pakistan, so ask yourself, why are they being carried out with increased frequency? It only makes sense when you accept that the objective is to destabilize the Northern Areas. The perspective that Pakistanis now hold is that the US is looking for another 'weapons of mass destruction in Iraq' scenario, only this time in Pakistan. Pakistanis are convinced that US is not an ally rather an enemy of Pakistan. The only Pakistanis who fail to see that are the 0.5% population segment that Eric mentioned, and these people have close ties to the West. If today the US leaves Afghanistan, things will be back to normal in the region within two months. But that is not the plan.

Regards
chatman
Tuesday, May 05, 2009 8:32 PM
It's an interesting idea and one that I've certainly thought about. My personal view is that any coordination between RAW and the Taliban is probably not quite so planned or centralized, and is more ad hoc. From a broader policy standpoint, it seems risky to use the Taliban as a proxy for destabilization, especially given their apparent popularity in the region. India and the U.S. have interests in Afghanistan, and the pro-Western government there would hardly benefit from the growth the Taliban in NWFP.

Moreover, If de-nuclearization is the broader goal, this kind of destabilization might provide some pretext, but ultimately, any power looking to defang Pakistan would actually have to seize the nukes. Regardless of whether political conditions made such seizure seem legitimate, I can't imagine that would be easy.
PakShaheen
Wednesday, May 06, 2009 12:23 AM
chatman

Well, there is another angle. The army operation has revealed that most of the "Taliban" fighters in current clashes are of Tajik and Uzbik origin (Not locals). Uzbiks and Tajiks are part of Northern Alliance and this is faction of warlords who is actually ruling Afghanistan under US blessing. Afghan Taliban are mostly Pushtuns but recent operations in Swat and Malakand has shown that Northern Alliance fighters are there. So, It is not surprising that Indian and Israelis are actively involved in AfPak mess as well along with US and Britain. Indian has had long relationship with Northern Alliance as Pakistan has relations with Talibans in Afghanistan before 9/11. Current TTP is nothing but a made believe extension of Afghan Taliban whereas in reality today no one knows whereabouts of Afghan Taliban but every one know how well equipped TTP is and strangely unlike FATA people in Swat never had that kind of weapon which are being used there against Paksitan Army.So, Someone is fishing in Pakistani waters.
Pushton
Wednesday, May 27, 2009 4:24 PM
philmar
Tuesday, May 05, 2009 9:59 AM
A wonderful article as usual Mr. Margolis. Thanks for being one of the few informed honest voices in the jouralistic wastelands of jingoist drivel. Greatly appreciate your work!
goodgenie
Tuesday, May 05, 2009 5:45 PM
The vestiges of the colonial education system are fading away. They produced up to the 60's the current crop of English speaking politicians; sons of all poweful land owners, clan and feudal lords. These private schools were mostly Christian, with westernised Christian teachers. The schools are still there but the liberal teachers are gone overseas, to live the life they were teaching about. Now modernity for the 5% is just academia and fascimile lifestyles. The lessons in modernity, diluted.

Pakistan's ruling classes will not hand over the country to the militants. However a far less liberal "educated" new generation will cast their ballots in a way that would make the militants proud. It's only a matter of time. It will be accompanied by a flight of capital. At least as much as the military forces will allow. The nukes will be safe and men will walk the streets, but in greater numbers than ever before.

The bearded ones, devout, inflexible and ready to be martyred are in all wallks of life, the armed forces in particular,,never got a shot at modernity. The rest remain functionaly and literaly illterate.

It is amazing that the west, is always looking for that voice of reason and cling to this minority. The Taliban and their austerity are a lot closer to the popular sentiment of the majority that shelters them. Otherwise why would the most wanted, OBL; take shelter in their midst?

Education is the only means to bring about national reconciliation given the disparity between those that have a secular vision in an Islamic state versus those that basically want clerics to establish the cultural and political life for the people.

Omar
Wednesday, May 06, 2009 5:13 AM
I am very impressed with Eric's understanding of the region.

I would only differ with the assumption that Pakistani nukes are safe. The Nuke facilities are mostly located in Punjab, where most of the Army comes from. Punjab has a history of surrendering to and siding with the invaders. The Moguls, the Sikhs, the Brits and many more. Probably one of the factors why Pakistan Army, has shown time and again its inability to fight long conflicts.

If the Taliban manage to enter the Punjab, the common man will surely side with them because of reasons such as poverty, feudalism, injustice etc. illustrated in your article. The junor officer and soldier is likely to shift his loyalty from the generals to the new rule. There is also no shortage of Taliban sympathetic officers in the nuclear facilities also.

Coming from Pakistan a religious and military family, I think the world and Pakistan is underestimating is threat.
Pushton
Wednesday, May 27, 2009 4:24 PM
Masood Ahmad
Wednesday, May 06, 2009 2:10 PM
Eric S Margolis's articles are really imbued with the intellect and great research. But sometime one feel that basic principles of the ethico-moral enunciations in political science are not followed upon. There is a cursory look on the article and the subsequent comments emphasize one commonality that it is the US which is the harbinger of all the morass inflicted upon this area. In part, this might be true but in reality, it might not be true. There is the concept of the lack of dissipation of the true knowledge/education for over more than centuries by the ruling elite, succumbing the area to the certain imbibations prone to forced coercion under the name which the harbinger bent upon to enforce i.e. sactarian/ehtnic, political, religious etc.

This area is neglected and put to pseudo-jingoistic notion that the man power will serve the purpose for the unruly whims of the ruling elite of the main-land Pakistan e.g. emancipation of Kashmir or the destruction of the Indians etc. Test case can be found in the recent Kargil imbroglio by Musharaf to inflict misery on the Indians who turned to be the real enlightened one only after the threats from US after 9/11. This criminal negligence has really backfired and the nation of Pakistan is sufferring the myopia of thier corrupt rulers who have nothing at stake in their ruled backyard (Pakistan) as their reserves and passionate desires are always in the west/states. This fiasco is actually the hallmark of the current situation also. One can equate this religious/political/myopic economic jingoism to the rennaisance european clergy which is always backed by the ruling feudals of that era.

Solution of this imbroglio lies in the establishment of the writ of the state with no more no go areas in the same state and subsequent investment in the future generation through the strong educational setup sans emotional traumas of religiosity.

Every act with honest intention will always pave the right discourse which Pakistan lacks since 1947.
Pushton
Wednesday, May 06, 2009 3:52 PM
HI i am from swat valley. and now living in canada.
I call ,my parents and friends everyday and ask them whats going on there.
"They simply says Taliban and pk army dont kill each other, they just destroy the in infrastructure, houses blindly shelling killing innocent people. We want want peace over there,not the war.But pk army have no choice they receive billions dollars aid from America so the have to show something to there lord. Simply i can say "Pk army what did in Bengal the same things they are doing here."
"Pakistanis politicians knows $ have more value then humans"
Masood Ahmad
Wednesday, May 06, 2009 10:46 PM
There is no comment except request for this link! And one thing living in another country and saying something from thousands miles away is really not a justice!
http://vodpod.com/watch/1545840-taliban-slaughtering
Pushton
Thursday, May 07, 2009 5:02 AM
Salam Masood Ahmad
I iust watch that video , i hardly watch all of them .
Muslim beheading other Muslim. Beheading start in swat valley in 2007 when Taliban first arrives,Before that no body saw these kind of killing. Where where Pakistani intelligence it that time when these people coming to swat valley, bring heavy weapons. and specially for killing 1 talib killing 5 innocent people. Pushing millions of pushtoon to move from there houses to refuges camps. Blindly bombardment and shelling is not the solutions of war or ending of war. This the war of money. The biggest lost in this war is for pashtoon even its economically.
I am not in the favor of Taliban nor Pakistani army both are killing the innocent peoples. Some body should stop it.
Masood Ahmad
Thursday, May 07, 2009 10:25 PM
Dear thanks for your response. I really don't mean to offend and of course the link is really not a mentionable entity. But I was just making the point that it is the problem which is self-motivated resulted in self-infliction. US or any other nation is not going to help if we as a nation are able to rectify our own backyard. The dissent prevalent is caused by the neglect over the years and such a phenomena is not restricted to so-called tribal areas but also in the most urbanized areas where people are not having any breathing space to find a solace. The negelct in equitable justice along with menial practices to find some low social, material or ehtnic mileage of the ruling class will not suffice. But is the case for this nation of "pure". And it is due to the ruling elite whose conduct has trickle down effect for an impatient environment in the country. For example, there is a recent case of impersonation of a sitting MNA in an examination caught red-handed by an invigilator who is now been threatened with dire consequences and the standing committee of the National Assembly comprising of the MNAs elect are not only favouring but having coercive tactics to defend their colleague. In a civilized/just world such a scenario would make an example of the elite for the establishment of a strong social control. But here we are introducing the concept of might is right. So now you can evaluate the case of the resentment all over Pakistan where means to enforce their own writ can result to such kind of scenarios which are witnessing today in Swat or elsewhere.
Calvin
Thursday, May 07, 2009 4:52 PM
For an American, Eric, you sure know a lot about what's really going on in the world. It's a shame you're not in the foreign affairs dept in Washington. Maybe then some sensible solutions to problems like Afghanistan, Pakistan and the middle east would surface. If the best Wasington's got is Hillary Clinton, they're in trouble already. But as long as the Israel lobby is alive and kicking in Washington, peace in the middle east is all but dead. As for Afpak, Washington needs someone with knowledge of that part of the world to deal with the mounting crisis. Someone who knows the culture, the people and the political mindset of the area. Not people who can't even find these places on a damn map.
LAUREN MARIE
Saturday, May 09, 2009 12:56 PM
I am all for getting Eric a job with the US government. His statements make a lot of sense, and we should at least get him talking at the table with the folks making these decisions. Maybe someone would listen! I certainly hope Obama is reading American Raj, and following Eric's articles. Good job, buddy. You rock.
Pseudonym
Saturday, May 09, 2009 2:33 PM
Even France - worldly, well-read France - is worried about Pakistan's nukes:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20090507/wl_sthasia_afp/pakistandiplomacyfranceafghanistan

You misspelled capital.

The Taliban came into Buner from Swat Valley, not from the nearby Malakand district. They don't control Malakand -- not yet anyway. You have betrayed an ignorance of the basic geography here.

You describe the Taliban takeover of Buner as if it were some joyride by an aging motorcycle gang. In a radio appearance, you mentioned that the Taliban -- the innocuous "Pashtun tribesmen" -- quickly withdrew. That much-publicized withdrawal was a smokescreen, as you should know. The Taliban fighters went to hide in the mountains and replaced themselves with local recruits in the towns and cities. Right now they're dug into the mountains and passes of Buner, putting up stiff resistance.








Pseudonym
Saturday, May 09, 2009 2:52 PM
These Pashtun tribesmen seem like such friendly people. They just want to ride their motorbikes in peace!

LA Times, reporting from Mardan:

"Late last month, a bomb exploded in the Bari Cham Girls High School. A few weeks earlier, the Government Girls Higher Secondary School was the target, followed the next day by a rocket attack on the town from the nearby hills.

In each case, there were no casualties. But the message was clear: Girls should don burkas, stay at home and shun education. If anyone missed the point, the militants warned teachers that they would cut the throat of any female older than 7 who didn't wear a veil."
surfer12
Saturday, May 30, 2009 3:45 AM
Margolis is clear headed and his articles are incisive. He does not have to be in Pakistan, FATA or Afghanistan to write so succinctly about the Taliban or the fake war on terror. What he writes sitting thousands of miles away educates many who endure the direct impact of war and its fallout. Pak army has bogged down in Swat and FATA, which was precisely how our allies who dictate us terms of good behavior intended it. His one-line analysis in one of his previous articles “Pak government is broke, US has hired its intelligence and military services to do its bidding” is something to think about.
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